Anthropic revenue growth slows, compute financing risks mount ahead of IPO
Some current and prospective investors are weighing a $1.5-trillion valuation, down from roughly $2-trillion
Anthropic filed to go public last week, setting the stage for what could be the largest IPO ever.Carlos Barria/Reuters
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed sharply in the third quarter and the AI startup flagged new risks to the computing capacity underpinning its rapid expansion, adding to the concerns investors may need to weigh ahead of its blockbuster IPO.
The disclosure came in an amended S-1 filing on Monday that showed Anthropic’s net loss narrowed as revenue surged 47 per cent from a quarter earlier to US$16.96-billion, though the pace of growth slowed. Revenue had risen 144 per cent in the second quarter.
Anthropic had nearly US$900-billion in computing commitments with partners including Amazon and Alphabet’s Google, underscoring how its rapid growth depends on vast amounts of future capacity, some of it reliant on financing beyond the company’s control.
“Certain of our compute providers and infrastructure partners depend on third-party financing or credit support to acquire chips and develop capacity, and if such financing or support becomes unavailable or more costly, contracted capacity may be delayed, repriced, reduced, or not delivered,” Anthropic said in the filing.
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Wall Street has become increasingly uneasy about the debt-fuelled AI buildout, as record borrowing for data centres, chips and other infrastructure has widened technology bond spreads and forced issuers to offer higher premiums to attract investors.
Anthropic is preparing to begin formally marketing shares to prospective investors next week. Some current and prospective investors are weighing a US$1.5-trillion valuation, down from roughly US$2-trillion, after the startup disclosed financial details at a recent investor event, Reuters has reported.
“We will be looking at when that capacity becomes available, when payments begin and how revenue grows against those obligations,” said Evan Schlossman and Willy Lee, principals at VC firm Neostellar, referring to Anthropic’s future purchase and lease commitments.
Anthropic’s filing landed as an early rebound on Wall Street petered out, with renewed selling in technology stocks highlighting investor anxiety over the AI boom. Amazon shares, however, closed higher, while Alphabet ended the session flat.
Anthropic said it was considering tighter human oversight of some research and development decisions as its AI models perform an increasing share of that work.
The company previously warned that advanced models can develop unexpected capabilities, recognize when they are being evaluated and behave in ways that make them harder to monitor. CEO Dario Amodei has called for a slowdown in their development.
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Fresh look at finances
The company expects to incur nearly half the US$895.4-billion in spending commitments related to AI infrastructure buildouts before Dec. 31, 2030, with about US$69.8-billion due in the 12 months following Sept. 30 this year.
Anthropic disclosed that it incurred US$5-billion in additional compute costs during the quarter, which weighed on improvements in its efficiency and reduced revenue per dollar of compute from the previous quarter.
“I wouldn’t say these results are worrisome, but I do expect some of this pressure on growth and margins to be reflected in the ultimate IPO valuation,” said Matt Kennedy, senior strategist at Renaissance Capital, a provider of IPO-focused research and ETFs.
Anthropic's IPO filing sets up the San Francisco company for a Wall Street debut next month, potentially eclipsing the SpaceX initial public offering in June that raised a record U…Full Caption
Anthropic said it had more than 11,900 customers generating at least US$100,000 in revenue on a trailing 12-month basis as of Sept. 30, up from more than 1,500 at the end of 2025.
Net loss fell to US$23.29-billion from US$66.3-billion a quarter earlier. It reported an operating loss of US$567-million in the third quarter, compared with operating income of US$974-million in the second quarter.
Anthropic’s operating loss reflects the cost of running its business, including computing infrastructure and research, while its net loss also includes non-operating items related to bonds convertible into its shares.
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